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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Record (consensus markets)72% (383–147, n=530)75% (490–167, n=657)42% (124–173, n=297)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$3.5K$54K$124K—
Tracked asPM monthly #157PM monthly #21PM monthly #39PM monthly #160
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)66% (87 of 131 open)73% (33 of 45 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +30 pts n=217, ROI +26%
  • NBA +26 pts n=151, ROI −7%
  • NFL +28 pts n=59, ROI +16%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won100% of 663 at avg 75¢, ROI +8%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 96% of 27)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 66)19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 446)34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $47Kings $5.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Cameron Norrie $227Taylor Fritz $4.8K—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—76ers $871Celtics $3.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $365Casper Ruud $3.0K—
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-25.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah Tech Trailblazers $99Utah State Aggies $2.5K—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $2Magic $451—
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $198Jazz $17K—
Knoxville: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov
same side · consensus Stefan Kozlov
—Stefan Kozlov $542Stefan Kozlov $5.4K—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $220Under $217—
Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Washington State Cougars
—Washington State Cougars $178Washington State Cougars $160—
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-13.5)
same side · consensus Wyoming Cowboys
—Wyoming Cowboys $8Wyoming Cowboys $295—