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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | BreakTheBank | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $7.3K | $779K | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #444 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #114 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (13 of 20 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | College Football −5 pts, n=37 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 316 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 13% (won 20% of 40) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 37% (won 45% of 117) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 49% (won 61% of 156) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | BreakTheBank | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | — | Ciryl Gane $47K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $8.5K | — | — | Jazz $16K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $4.7K | — | — | Magic $79K |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.2K | — | — | Bucks $81K |