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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market | 67% (354–171, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $7.3K | — | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #444 | PM monthly #150 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (13 of 20 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (38 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | College Football −5 pts, n=37 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 316 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 13% (won 20% of 40) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 37% (won 45% of 117) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 49% (won 61% of 156) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $18K | — | — | Knicks $126 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $9.4K | — | — | Knicks $2.4K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6.2K | — | — | Under $138 |
| Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios same side · consensus Tomas Barrios | Tomas Barrios $39K | — | — | Tomas Barrios $25K |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | — | — | Bucks $96 |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.2K | — | — | Bucks $992 |