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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | gmpm2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | 68% (17–8, n=25) | 75% (677–224, n=901) | 50% (2–2, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | $884K | $34K | -$6.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #71 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (10 of 12 open) | 29% (4 of 14 open) | 62% (76 of 123 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 6% (won 32% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 29% (won 48% of 97) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 45% (won 55% of 150) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 21% (won 80% of 71) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | gmpm2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $117K | Kings $49 | Magic $1.4K | — |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $21K | Ciryl Gane $49K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $11K | — | Magic $506 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.7K | — | Trail Blazers $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $364 | Magic $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $249 | Magic $1.4K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings same side · consensus Magic | Magic $12K | — | Magic $13K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $2.7K | Kings $237 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A same side · consensus Team Falcons | Team Falcons $944 | — | Team Falcons $15 | — |