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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | Winning2... | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) | 32% (878–1900, n=2778) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $14.8M | -$20K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #644 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (12 of 18 open) | 50% (11 of 22 open) | 64% (106 of 165 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Mentions −31 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 31% of 3333 at avg 31¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 52% (won 19% of 1720) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 39% (won 39% of 1298) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 9% (won 61% of 292) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 1% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | Winning2... |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $56K | No $146 | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | No $5.6K | — | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.0K | Over $488 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $622 | Yes $590 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $357 | — | Under $157 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev | Daniil Medvedev $31K | — | Daniil Medvedev $36K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Novak Djokovic | Novak Djokovic $3.3K | — | Novak Djokovic $30K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $372 | Yes $18K | — | — |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $11K | — | No $4.1K | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $251 | — | Under $238 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | Over $81 | — |