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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | classified | plusti | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 44% (12–15, n=27) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | $779K | $3.8K | $31K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #289 | was PM monthly #883 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (13 of 21 open) | 41% (7 of 17 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 14 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 43% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 57% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | classified | plusti |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $229 | Trail Blazers $2.8K | — | Thunder $1.8K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | Kings $76 | — | — |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $49K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $6.5K | Clippers $19K | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | Clippers $298 | — | — |