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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)66% (4106–2155, n=6261)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$5.3M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #932
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)81% (25 of 31 open)no open consensus position59% (148 of 249 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 100% of 41)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 154)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 671)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677Pan9X
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $96K—Jaguars $16
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $83K—Jaguars $31
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $56K——
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $44K—Jaguars $18
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $33K——Bilibili Gaming $15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $23K——No $161
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——No $188
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $43
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25——Panathinaikós AO $45
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $43——Yes $10
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7——Over $12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225K——Yes $68
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $136K——Magic $16
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96K——No $181
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $69K——KKS Lech Poznań $50
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43K——No $38
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12K——Over $23
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.6K——Over $529
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.8K——Rider Broncs $3
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311——No $369
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $321——No $102
Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $99——No $229
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49——No $149