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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpNM-PUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)75% (735–246, n=981)46% (33–38, n=71)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$304K$68K-$4.0K—
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #537PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus25% (2 of 8 open)69% (63 of 91 open)64% (14 of 22 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +52 pts n=15, ROI +50%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 31 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%100% of 4 at avg 74¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 2)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)55% (won 100% of 17)0%
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)19% (won 100% of 6)0%
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)19% (won 100% of 6)75% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpNM-PUpTheBlues
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Martinez
Jurij Rodionov $2.5KPedro Martinez $7.0K——
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $366—
Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $350Yes $351—
Will Albania win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $431Yes $236—
Will Türkiye vs. Belgium end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $93No $267—
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $33No $298—
Will Montenegro vs. Latvia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1No $278—
Will England win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.3KYes $780—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KAlexander Shevchenko $358—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
—Aryna Sabalenka $984Aryna Sabalenka $35—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
—No $431No $262—
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $447No $57—
Commanders vs. Giants
same side · consensus Giants
—Giants $23Giants $280—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93—Vikings $168—