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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–66, n=125)75% (730–246, n=976)45% (192–239, n=431)
Consensus PnL-$292K$69K$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #43
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)65% (52 of 80 open)47% (9 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $95KG2 $2G2 $1.0K
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
same side · consensus Alex Bolt
Alafia Ayeni $29KAlafia Ayeni $3.8KAlafia Ayeni $34K
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks
opposite sides · consensus South East Melbourne Phoenix
—Illawarra Hawks $6.1KSouth East Melbourne Phoenix $6.2K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958Casper Ruud $5.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $463
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $1.3K—G2 $910
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $390Michael Geerts $1.0K
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $409Under $1
W35 Heraklion: Giulia Safina Popa vs Maria Golovina
opposite sides · consensus Giulia Safina Popa
—Giulia Safina Popa $288Maria Golovina $102
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $956Elena Ruxandra Bertea $358
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
same side · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $153Marianna Argyrokastriti $445
W15 Maanshan: Xinle Geng vs Xichen Zhao
same side · consensus Xinle Geng
—Xinle Geng $262Xinle Geng $317
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
same side · consensus Johannus Monday
—Francesco Maestrelli $119Francesco Maestrelli $11
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women
same side · consensus Uganda Women
—Rwanda Women $18Rwanda Women $50