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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBank0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188googleplayfantasy7788robustmst0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (70–71, n=141) | 55% (206–170, n=376) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$330K | $229K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #6 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 74% (137 of 185 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Raptors $5.6K | Celtics $36K | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $4.5K | Wizards $15K | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.3K | Magic $6.5K | — |
| Rangers vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $710 | Flames $4.8K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Magic $88K | Magic $7.5K | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $554 | Under $31K | — |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $317 | Pacers $9.3K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $95 | Vikings $5.7K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $162 | Thunder $4.8K | — |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $67 | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $26 | Cavaliers $1.9K | — |