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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 54% (208–175, n=383) | no settled market | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$252K | $232K | — | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (15 of 29 open) | 74% (139 of 187 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $125 | Under $44K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $63 | Cavaliers $25K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $4.2K | Wizards $21K | — | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.3K | Magic $6.5K | — | — |
| Rangers vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $710 | Flames $4.8K | — | — |
| UMass vs. Toledo opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $1.7K | UMass $975 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Magic $87K | Magic $7.3K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $789 | Under $43K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $15K | Raptors $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $3.8K | Bulls $5.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $244 | Pacers $7.8K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $96 | Vikings $5.7K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $162 | Thunder $4.8K | — | — |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $82 | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $23 | Cavaliers $2.3K | — | — |