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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465btnaFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)71% (42–17, n=59)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$12K$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #518PM monthly #22PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)63% (5 of 8 open)65% (201 of 308 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)26% (won 36% of 11)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)14% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)33% (won 64% of 14)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)26% (won 100% of 11)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465btnaFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KNo $1.1K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12KNo $2.8K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $9.9K—Lakers $606—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.4KNo $822—
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.3KNo $47—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0K—Bulls $156—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0K—Grizzlies $595—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902—Eastern Michigan $60—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $793—Lakers $31—
Blackhawks vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Blackhawks $2—Panthers $400—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $108K—Thunder $3.8K—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $4.4K—Thunder $8.8K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $11K—Sacramento State $215—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6K—Raptors $566—
Hornets vs. Nets
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $571—Nets $5.1K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $6—Pacers $3.9K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $283—Under $2.3K—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Timberwolves $237—Timberwolves $127—