← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | 43% (3–4, n=7) | 43% (158–208, n=366) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | $353K | $54K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #154 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (10 of 12 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 62% (21 of 34 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $258K | Kings $59K | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $2.0K | — | Trail Blazers $20K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $12K | — | Magic $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $22 | — | Kings $3.3K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 207.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $25 | — | Over $11 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $278 | — | Trail Blazers $594 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $4 | — | Kings $147 | — |