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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighNOO-YesRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (38–40, n=78)42% (124–171, n=295)50% (2–2, n=4)68% (316–146, n=462)
Consensus PnL-$384K$175K$34K-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #36was PM monthly #417PM monthly #38 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)73% (27 of 37 open)0% (0 of 1 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)6% (won 100% of 9)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)42% (won 100% of 63)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)40% (won 100% of 61)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)12% (won 100% of 18)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighNOO-YesRN1
Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet
same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet
Oliver Tarvet $1.0KOliver Tarvet $9.2K—Oliver Tarvet $274
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52KJazz $17K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova
opposite sides · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $39K——Linda Noskova $2.7K
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $18KUnder $742——
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192Kent State $1.2K——