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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | Venusian | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | no settled market | 69% (309–142, n=451) | 50% (116–115, n=231) |
| Consensus PnL | -$380K | — | -$38K | $7.4K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #38 | PM monthly #159 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #284 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 50% (55 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 82 at avg 52¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 10% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 54% (won 100% of 44) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 16% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 21% (won 100% of 17) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | Venusian |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $49K | — | — | Jazz $1.1K |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $19K | — | — | Under $4 |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente opposite sides · consensus Daniel Rincon | — | — | Daniel Rincon $9.6K | Santiago De La Fuente $1.4K |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | — | — | Under $6 |
| Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka opposite sides · consensus Daniil Glinka | — | — | Daniil Glinka $976 | Sebastian Baez $3.1K |
| Knoxville: Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch opposite sides · consensus Alastair Gray | — | — | Alastair Gray $243 | Darwin Blanch $232 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | — | Toby Samuel $1.1K | Toby Samuel $2.0K |