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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (15620–15680, n=31300) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.8M | $3.1M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #167 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | 73% (56 of 77 open) | 52% (94 of 182 open) | 68% (15 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 8% (won 61% of 889) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 21% (won 87% of 2410) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 38% (won 95% of 4354) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 99% of 3754) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ducks vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Flames | Flames $87K | — | Ducks $3 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $149 | — |
| Raptors vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $1.8K | — | Raptors $768 | — |
| Celtics vs. Hornets opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Hornets $604 | — | Celtics $446 | — |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus T1 | Karmine Corp $7 | — | T1 $540 | — |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | — | East Carolina $112 | South Florida $31 |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Wizards $17 | — | Hawks $11 | — |
| Spurs vs. Kings same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $220K | — | Spurs $2.0K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | — | Yes $2.4K | — |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $32K | — | T1 $216 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | — | Over $37 | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | Yes $4 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois same side · consensus Nebraska | — | — | Nebraska $49 | Nebraska $580 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $35 | — | Yes $165 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $11 | — | Bucks $24 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | Yes $5 | — |