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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph00677sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2610–3504, n=6114) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #448 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (37 of 70 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) | 54% (36 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=925 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1749) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 463) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 61% of 140) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 901) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $181 | No $1.5M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $506 | No $1.4M | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $57 | Yes $1.3M | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | Yes $31K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | Yes $2.9M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | Yes $3.7K | Yes $544K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $928 | No $73K | — |