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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (2610–3503, n=6113) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $11.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #448 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 74% (29 of 39 open) | 52% (36 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=925 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 3253 at avg 37¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 3% of 1749) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 43% of 463) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 61% of 140) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 97% of 901) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.