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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 43% (129–174, n=303) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $779K | $115K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #152 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 53% (9 of 17 open) | 50% (58 of 115 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $20K | 76ers $17 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $18K | Clippers $212 | — |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $260 | — | Western Michigan $12K | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $5.2K | — | Miami (OH) $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $166 | Celtics $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-16.5) same side · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $3.1K | — | Western Michigan $11 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Celtics $595 | Celtics $830 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $10 | Celtics $442 | — |