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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (628–873, n=1501) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) |
| Consensus PnL | $75K | $7.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (36 of 55 open) | 84% (27 of 32 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather −1 pts, n=1150 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 2407 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 1% of 1018) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 41% of 63) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 72% of 58) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 99% of 1268) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $29 | No $72K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $41 | Yes $55K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $837 | Ravens $4 |