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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)47% (591–677, n=1268)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$70K$9.4M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #30PM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus69% (211 of 304 open)60% (15 of 25 open)65% (269 of 413 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicF1 −7 pts, n=25—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 753)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 39% of 61)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 73% of 55)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1178)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $175No $258K——
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64KYes $115K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $427—Yes $2.5K—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5—Yes $634—
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——UMass $444Ball State $18
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $651KNo $40K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $25K—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $6.9KCeltics $215—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $16—No $4.3K—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $59—No $89—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1—No $128—
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $7—No $63—