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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (38–1, n=39) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 65% (17–9, n=26) | 67% (383–189, n=572) |
| Consensus PnL | $169 | $779K | -$10K | -$126K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #212 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (229 of 269 open) | 33% (6 of 18 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 62% (88 of 143 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 84 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 11% of 9) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 27% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 64% (won 100% of 7) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 100% of 73) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $11K | Over $3.8K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $13K | Under $1.0K |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $10 | — | Suns $11K |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $3.5K | — | Magic $325 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $2.1K | — | Suns $528 |
| Spread: Ohio (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH) | — | — | Ohio $2.6K | Miami (OH) $19 |
| Spread: Ohio (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH) | — | — | Ohio $390 | Miami (OH) $1.9K |
| Spread: Ohio (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH) | — | — | Ohio $239 | Miami (OH) $1.5K |
| Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | — | — | Ohio $824 | Miami (OH) $102 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $282 | — | Suns $476 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $138 | — | Magic $151 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $206 | Under $36 |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $43 | — | Suns $50 |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $4.5K | — | Kings $520 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.1K | Over $742 |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $406 | — | Kings $123 |