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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)98% (41–1, n=42)75% (741–246, n=987)45% (196–244, n=440)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL$195$70K$6.7K-$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #210PM monthly #14PM monthly #46PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus84% (223 of 264 open)66% (85 of 128 open)73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=10, ROI −34%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won88% of 84 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 11% of 9)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up87% (won 100% of 73)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641Lakers $9.5K—
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
—Kilian Feldbausch $3.6KTiago Pereira $5.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $367Lakers $3.3K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $188Yes $218——
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-22?
same side · consensus No
No $9No $1.8K——
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
No $652No $910——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $523No $706——
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Maxence Bertimon vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Eric Vanshelboim $132Eric Vanshelboim $100—