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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53eCc53E7ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (357–524, n=881)65% (896–472, n=1368)50% (1103–1116, n=2219)
Consensus PnL$16K$4.5M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #642PM monthly #100PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus65% (58 of 89 open)76% (31 of 41 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +11 pts n=150, ROI +7%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=59, ROI +5%
  • NHL +2 pts n=84, ROI +3%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=64NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won35% of 795 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢55% (won 7% of 439)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 101)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 63% of 120)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 97% of 135)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53eCc53E7ndb1primm
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8No $675—
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $372No $3—
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $78Yes $250—
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $26Yes $28—
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $394No $5—
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
Yes $304Yes $5—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus No
Yes $260Yes $24—