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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x53eCc53E7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (376–550, n=926) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 50% (1116–1128, n=2244) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $7.9M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #639 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (44 of 66 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 67% (52 of 78 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=64 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 795 at avg 33¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 7% of 439) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 44% of 101) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 63% of 120) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 97% of 135) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.