← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x53eCc53E7 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (418–590, n=1008) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #744 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (64 of 95 open) | 74% (113 of 153 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (29 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=75 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 901 at avg 34¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 54% (won 7% of 483) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 43% of 120) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 64% of 133) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 97% of 165) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.