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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorppelik
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)99% (4549–14, n=4563)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M$82K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #424
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)67% (309 of 462 open)81% (13 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Finance +9 pts n=15, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=20, ROI 0%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 3195 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)0%
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)0% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)100% (won 100% of 3191)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorppelik
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64KYes $115K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $1.0K
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
——CD Tenerife $99FC Andorra $1.0K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $651KNo $40K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $23K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $2.0K
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $6.2KCeltics $215—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $713Under $3.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.0KNo $226
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
——FC Andorra $517FC Andorra $2.0K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $1.0K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $257Under $1.8K
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 3 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus No
——No $100No $391