Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)46% (6333–7444, n=13777)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$21K$5.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2was PM monthly #699PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (13 of 22 open)94% (188 of 201 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Crypto −2 pts, n=3902—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%51% of 4244 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)41% (won 8% of 1743)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)13% (won 39% of 571)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)8% (won 72% of 360)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)37% (won 96% of 1570)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87joseph00677
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22KNo $42—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.4KNo $111—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KNo $19—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $516No $18—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $164No $25—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16No $80—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $55—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $765KNo $30—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $16KNo $73—