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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 33% (3360–6935, n=10295) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | -$29K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #304 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (39 of 56 open) | 81% (244 of 302 open) | 65% (60 of 92 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Weather −7 pts, n=4652 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 29% of 7204 at avg 34¢, ROI −5% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 68% (won 1% of 4909) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 38% of 146) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 3% (won 54% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 27% (won 96% of 1948) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.