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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 37% (1366–2314, n=3680) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $20K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #132 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (72 of 113 open) | 82% (161 of 196 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Elections −3 pts, n=583 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 2472 at avg 61¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 34% (won 1% of 837) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 4% (won 42% of 99) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 63% of 153) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 56% (won 96% of 1383) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $183K | No $8 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $33K | No $245 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $15K | No $32 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.8K | No $28 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.4K | No $449 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | No $74 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.5K | No $38 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $794 | No $242 |