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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 43% (388–517, n=905) | 47% (13355–14864, n=28219) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $1.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 47% (45 of 95 open) | 56% (22 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Finance −15 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 41% of 880 at avg 39¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 48% (won 8% of 421) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 38% of 140) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 15% (won 70% of 131) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 21% (won 96% of 188) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $407K | Yes $8.7K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $14K | No $8.9K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $12K | Yes $4.6K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $33 | Yes $205 | — |