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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1northdrawerRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (885–467, n=1352)58% (10777–7832, n=18609)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M$71K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #117PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position82% (28 of 34 open)83% (2247 of 2702 open)51% (19 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132Soccer −3 pts, n=341—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 16% of 160)57% (won 0% of 3123)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 40% of 253)2% (won 46% of 134)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 57% of 310)4% (won 61% of 222)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 544)37% (won 96% of 2010)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1northdrawerRN1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $63KNo $27—
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8KNo $27—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $529No $146—
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $258No $56—
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $144—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26No $44—
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
same side · consensus No
—No $929No $49—
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
same side · consensus No
—No $51No $176—
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?
same side · consensus No
—No $33No $51—
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $6No $12—
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $9No $4—