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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (1402–2820, n=4222) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 51% (28209–27250, n=55459) |
| Consensus PnL | -$24K | $8.4M | $4.6M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (18 of 31 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 65% (46 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=19 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 1304 at avg 23¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 8% of 920) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 59% of 158) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 75% of 153) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 86% of 73) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | No $54K | — |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | No $15 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | No $350K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | No $85K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $19K | — | — |