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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310700gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)48% (2154–2335, n=4489)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$76K$3.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #405was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus26% (21 of 81 open)no open consensus position70% (16 of 23 open)74% (72 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=1118, ROI +1%
  • NBA +10 pts n=68, ROI +19%
  • MLB +2 pts n=444, ROI −3%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won61% of 3065 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 5% of 1197)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 61% of 23)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 53% of 15)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 98% of 1830)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310700gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.3K——No $252K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14K——Yes $169K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $227——No $40K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $473——Yes $28K
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $192——No $2.4K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.6K——No $184K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.2K——Yes $77K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $14K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $82——No $10K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.4K——Yes $1.1K