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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-176976431395200gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)88% (593–78, n=671)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$142K$3.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #368 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus95% (56 of 59 open)no open consensus position58% (58 of 100 open)72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=124———
Settled positions, side won87% of 701 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 14% of 36)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 43% of 23)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 45% of 31)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up87% (won 96% of 611)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-176976431395200gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Steelers $116Browns $297K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $90K——No $184K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
——Steelers $5.3KBrowns $255K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114K——Yes $77K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Jets $213Raiders $104K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $1.8KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.0KCardinals $3.0K
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $25Raiders $232K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K——Yes $169K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $230Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $32Raiders $24K