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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (593–78, n=671) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $142K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #368 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (56 of 59 open) | 58% (58 of 100 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=124 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 701 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 14% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 43% of 23) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 45% of 31) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 96% of 611) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $116 | Browns $297K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $90K | — | No $184K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.3K | Browns $255K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $114K | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $213 | Raiders $104K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.8K | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.0K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $25 | Raiders $232K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $230 | Cardinals $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $32 | Raiders $24K | — |