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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)97% (23552–796, n=24348)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)
Consensus PnL$301K$11.0M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #645PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #22 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (11 of 13 open)60% (40 of 67 open)no open consensus position58% (51 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +2 pts n=8617, ROI +1%
  • NHL +2 pts n=201, ROI +2%
  • NBA +2 pts n=251, ROI +2%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=410———
Settled positions, side won98% of 15321 at avg 97¢, ROI +1%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 22% of 46)10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 52% of 86)36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 84% of 186)35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 15003)19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1K——No $1.8K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $148——Under $56
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K——No $3.3K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $5.0K——No $1.4K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $694——Under $46
Coritiba FBC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $37——No $134
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $15——Over $28