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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540BreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)86% (2010–318, n=2328)46% (560–667, n=1227)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)
Consensus PnL$232K$9.4M$4.2M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #749PM monthly #1PM monthly #96PM monthly #58
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)63% (17 of 27 open)73% (33 of 45 open)53% (85 of 161 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicMMA −1 pts, n=23—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won85% of 1982 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 8% of 191)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 46% of 94)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 68% of 164)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 1533)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540BreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daa
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $31K—Pelicans $4
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $19K—Pelicans $4
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $2.7K—Wizards $8
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0K—Yes $153
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $66—Wizards $331
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $204K—Pistons $511
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22K—Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15K—Yes $215
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6K—Yes $69
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $516—Yes $29
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28—Yes $41