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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0RN1S-Worksweflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)54% (4290–3671, n=7961)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$70K$14.9M$3.6M$2.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #67Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus43% (6 of 14 open)51% (21 of 41 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=88, ROI +44%
  • NBA +38 pts n=424, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +34 pts n=586, ROI +36%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won100% of 1189 at avg 63¢, ROI +19%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 99% of 90)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 341)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 502)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0RN1S-Worksweflyhigh
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $52Billy Harris $6.2K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30No $2.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1Over $1.8K——
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Max Houkes
Tom Gentzsch $30Max Houkes $1.0K——
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Sandro Kopp
Luka Mikrut $28Sandro Kopp $6——