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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)54% (15260–13110, n=28370)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$355K$7.9M$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #89PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus70% (390 of 554 open)82% (23 of 28 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +18 pts n=2680, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=652, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=125———
Settled positions, side won46% of 14654 at avg 37¢, ROI +8%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢53% (won 11% of 7732)11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 59% of 1834)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 89% of 1730)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 3358)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $38Yes $13K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $133Yes $78K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1No $66K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47Yes $45K——
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $159Yes $8——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $47Yes $28——