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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 24% (382–1198, n=1580) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) |
| Consensus PnL | $101K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #460 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (11 of 16 open) | 71% (80 of 113 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −3 pts, n=448 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 38% of 1359 at avg 40¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 58% (won 1% of 795) | 10% (won 81% of 57) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 35% of 34) | 36% (won 98% of 201) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 53% of 40) | 35% (won 99% of 196) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 97% of 490) | 19% (won 100% of 109) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $390 | Yes $291K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64 | Yes $183K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $278 | Yes $18K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $106 | Yes $4.3K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $266 | Yes $1.4K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $230 | No $268K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $43K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $276 | No $624 |