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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)24% (382–1198, n=1580)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)
Consensus PnL$101K$6.1M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #461was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus65% (13 of 20 open)100% (1 of 1 open)65% (73 of 113 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −3 pts, n=448NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won38% of 1359 at avg 40¢, ROI +2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢58% (won 1% of 795)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 35% of 34)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 53% of 40)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 97% of 490)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2beachboy4BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $557—Yes $287K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $464—Yes $183K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $14K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $210—Yes $4.2K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $1.4K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $265K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $42K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $508—No $607