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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (476–709, n=1185)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$71K$7.7M$3.3M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #751PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (40 of 48 open)no open consensus position58% (54 of 93 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +14 pts n=11, ROI −9%
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI −5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=117———
Settled positions, side won41% of 189 at avg 44¢, ROI −5%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 12% of 65)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 28% of 60)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 68% of 34)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 30)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $294K—Texans $9.3K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $197K—No $5.9K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $103K—76ers $903
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $100K—Texans $1.5K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13K—No $24K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $3.9K—Texans $1.6K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
—Packers $143K—Packers $15
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $124K—Seahawks $982
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $104K—Packers $3.6K