← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xheavy888 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4543–3363, n=7906) | 47% (13855–15338, n=29193) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 62% (395–247, n=642) |
| Consensus PnL | $400K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #201 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (40 of 49 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 88% (131 of 149 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=2137 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 6372 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 8% of 591) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 42% of 1670) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 61% of 2449) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 82% of 1662) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xheavy888 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | — | Yes $33K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August Holmgren same side · consensus August Holmgren | August Holmgren $3 | August Holmgren $502 | — | — |