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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5783–6970, n=12753) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.0K | -$77K | -$857K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (66 of 159 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 86% (134 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.