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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 8m1 | classified | denizz | RememberAmalek | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 26% (29–82, n=111) | 57% (34–26, n=60) | 70% (143–62, n=205) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $783K | $1.1M | $494K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #341 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #153 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 54% (83 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 8m1 | classified | denizz | RememberAmalek |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $12 | No $40K | Yes $549 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $225 | Yes $10K | Yes $1.6K |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $469 | No $1.7K | No $4.8K |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $32K | No $6 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.3K | Yes $25K | — |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $12K | Yes $115 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.3K | Yes $2.6K |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $14 | — | No $28 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $249K | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | No $136K | — | — | No $3.1K |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.1K | No $1.1K |