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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ABC12345654321 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (578–527, n=1105) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$14K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #342 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (63 of 130 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 89% (128 of 144 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 331 at avg 63¢, ROI −23% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 56% of 18) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 52% of 86) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 75% of 110) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 99% of 117) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ABC12345654321 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $218 | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $397 | — | — | No $253K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $505 | — | — | Yes $172K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $217 | — | — | No $114K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $151 | — | — | Yes $280K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $76 | — | — | Yes $85K |