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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ackbar | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (32–35, n=67) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$34K | $7.7M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (41 of 54 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (84 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=48 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 51 at avg 50¢, ROI −4% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 31% of 16) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 67% (won 56% of 34) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ackbar | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $179K | — | Cowboys $1.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $101K | — | Cowboys $2.0K |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $67K | — | Eagles $20 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $49K | — | Cowboys $4.9K |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $37K | — | Eagles $8.7K |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $11K | — | Eagles $1.4K |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $201K | — | No $4.7K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $18K | — | Chiefs $1.7K |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Rams $13K | — | Rams $2.7K |