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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Anon455 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1355–836, n=2191) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$89K | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #679 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (51 of 85 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=276 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1710 at avg 57¢, ROI +7% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 11% of 303) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 39% of 314) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 70% of 470) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 92% of 623) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Anon455 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $2.2K | Browns $297K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $37K | Browns $255K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $52K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $2.6K | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $91K | Bills $378K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $4.1K | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $481 | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $53 | Bills $2.1K | — |