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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BaddieBreakTheBankclassifiedSisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market97% (441–15, n=456)59% (191–132, n=323)96% (454–18, n=472)
Consensus PnL$582$8.4M$783K$648K
Tracked asPM monthly #891PM monthly #1PM monthly #340PM monthly #314
Sides with the consensus87% (103 of 119 open)76% (35 of 46 open)68% (19 of 28 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Elections −2 pts, n=101—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)46% (won 4% of 152)4% (won 82% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)4% (won 47% of 15)24% (won 97% of 112)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)7% (won 78% of 23)48% (won 99% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)43% (won 98% of 144)24% (won 100% of 110)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaddieBreakTheBankclassifiedSisyphus-
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $21No $15K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $2.4K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $143Yes $19K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $34Yes $2.9K——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $33——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $23——